India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) has revised its outlook for the pharmaceutical sector to positive for FY15 from stable on the back of increased exports to the US and ‘pharmerging’ markets. Profit margins are likely to improve on increased utilisation of manufacturing facilities.
The agency expects credit profiles of the large pharma manufacturers to remain strong while smaller, active pharma ingredients and pharma intermediates manufacturers, with a turnover of up to ` one billion will continue to face liquidity and competitive pressures.
Ind-Ra believes that backed by the increasing traction for generics globally and new generic drug approvals for Indian pharma companies in different jurisdictions, exports are likely to overtake domestic market sales in FY15. The domestic pharma market is likely to see high single-digit revenue growth.
The sector has received more than $12 billion worth of foreign direct investment through various deals since 2006. Manufacturing facilities carrying approvals from regulated markets are likely to be the acquisition targets of domestic and foreign drug manufacturers as a green-field investment involves a two to three year gestation period.
The year also saw increased regulatory action with the Indian government bringing 201 additional drugs under price control, the Supreme Court of India ordering the closure of 157 clinical trials and US FDA issuing warning letters to 10 Indian manufacturing facilities. While the actions till now are not significant considering the size of the Indian market, any significant increase in regulatory actions will have negative implication for the industry.
EP News Bureau – Mumbai